Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.222758 0.251485 0.281935 0.316554 0.354760 0.395576 0.442416
2025-08-03 0.187209 0.226450 0.270469 0.323294 0.384744 0.453739 0.536828
2025-08-10 0.162917 0.209158 0.263604 0.331981 0.415059 0.512197 0.633797
2025-08-17 0.139450 0.189116 0.250239 0.330205 0.431187 0.553523 0.711883
2025-08-24 0.121584 0.173394 0.239772 0.329865 0.447599 0.594740 0.790830
2025-08-31 0.106868 0.159747 0.230073 0.328796 0.461878 0.632913 0.866821
2025-09-07 0.097361 0.151880 0.226868 0.335342 0.485633 0.683559 0.960383
2025-09-14 0.087316 0.142011 0.219738 0.335468 0.500052 0.721858 1.038676
2025-09-21 0.078798 0.133367 0.213359 0.335739 0.514066 0.759576 1.117095
2025-09-28 0.071467 0.125687 0.207556 0.336072 0.527671 0.796753 1.195680
2025-10-05 0.066219 0.120685 0.205211 0.341064 0.547856 0.843546 1.289035
2025-10-12 0.062442 0.117647 0.205520 0.349850 0.573758 0.899188 1.396661
2025-10-19 0.057404 0.112164 0.201777 0.352455 0.591026 0.943858 1.491609
2025-10-26 0.053802 0.108784 0.201114 0.359769 0.615727 1.000353 1.605906
2025-11-02 0.050931 0.106394 0.201843 0.369247 0.644104 1.063299 1.731922
2025-11-09 0.046361 0.100401 0.195939 0.367278 0.653997 1.098322 1.816985
2025-11-16 0.042520 0.095362 0.191236 0.366892 0.666200 1.137092 1.908799
2025-11-23 0.038948 0.090450 0.186326 0.365714 0.676832 1.173542 1.997974
2025-11-30 0.036872 0.088306 0.186246 0.372882 0.701571 1.233026 2.124818
2025-12-07 0.034056 0.084327 0.182409 0.373018 0.714223 1.273367 2.222499
2025-12-14 0.031515 0.080648 0.178829 0.373313 0.727005 1.314166 2.321966
2025-12-21 0.029207 0.077218 0.175440 0.373678 0.739783 1.355215 2.422886
2025-12-28 0.027636 0.075268 0.174815 0.379144 0.761736 1.412120 2.551208